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Thursday, March 3, 2011

A Reason to Buy the Most Hated Industry on the Market

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A Reason to Buy the Most Hated Industry on the Market
By Jim Nelson
March 3, 2011


Dear Penny Sleuther,

In research I send my Lifetime Income Report readers, the theme you I cover more than any other is market mispricings. Some of the best times to buy a stock are when it is the least popular.

It’s because of this that we’ve been able to lock in gains of 32%, 46% and even 104% in the past two years — and that doesn’t even count the massive gains currently open in LIR’s portfolio.

This month, I may have found the largest Wall Street mistake in my career…

Of course, finding investor errors is the nature of contrarian thinking. If we were following mainstream lines of thought, we would never find undervalued plays. And I’d certainly never find the kinds of yields my readers have been able to lock in.


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Contrarian investors, at least good ones, don’t find just out-of-favor stocks. They find hated ones. And despite one of the best years in this one industry’s history, investors have washed their hands of it.

The industry leader is down more than 50% since it came under fire. (My favorite stock in the industry has also seen its share price halved. But its dividend grew 33% in the last quarter — and a massive 166% since the start of the recession.)

The best part, we’re able to lock in a solid yield on this industry for the first time in its history…Thank you, Wall Street!

Before I get into the specifics, let’s dive right into this industry…and investors’ repugnance of it.


The Down-and-Out Industry We Can’t Help But Love

Here’s how bad things look for this industry — or at least how the mainstream media have framed the argument against it.

The Senate HELP Committee brought in top players to berate them. A Government Accountability Office report found fraud across the board. And the industry’s independent regulators may even lose their jobs over a scandal. In fact, if events continue to unfold in this fashion, these businesses will lose the majority of their funding — which comes from Washington.

These threats and issues have even caused one CEO to recently say, “Most of [the decline] is based on the fact [that] you have important public policy commentators…as well as significant media who have questioned the efficacy of [our business].”

The industry, as you may have guessed by now, is for-profit education. Those may just be three of the ugliest words in Washington.

As I noted, the industry first came under fire in early August when the GAO report on abuses and fraud was leaked to the press. Shares of every for-profit education company collapsed.


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The HELP Committee immediately called a hearing on for-profit schools. From there, arguments for changing how universities are accredited started popping up. Chairman Tom Harkin and Sen. Al Franken laid into the executive director at an accreditation agency. They even dragged in a former admissions representative from a for-profit to give the gory behind-the-scenes details.

When the smoke cleared, nothing was changed. But the damage was done. Harkin is still the committee’s chairman. And this story could still have an unhappy ending for the likes of Kaplan University and University of Phoenix.

But just as everyone is turned against the industry, there are still some golden eggs to be found.

***Editor’s Note: More specifically, there are a number of small-cap for-profit education stocks that could have upside from this point. One of the small education stocks to watch is National American Univ. Holdings (NASDAQ: NAUH), a $328 million college operator that pays out a 1.54% dividend yield. Of course, Jim has identified his favorite education play for his Lifetime Income Report readers — to get his detailed analysis for yourself, just click here.***

Sincerely,
Jim Nelson

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A Reason to Buy the Most Hated Industry on the Market is featured at Penny Sleuth.



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